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Happy Sunday…

Welcome to the new platform!

I hope everyone had a great week and is getting through February, the shortest month of the year always seems like the longest.

 As mentioned last week, we have now moved to a low-cost subscription model with new benefits including my video clips three times a week, sports business news breakdowns, and a monthly meeting (we will have our first one at the start of NFL free agency) with the opportunity to ask me questions and interact more. We are keeping the price to a nominal rate of $2.99 per month, or an introductory price of $20.99 for the year, as I want the value to greatly exceed the price. I try to give you "what you need to know," with unique perspective and without the spin. 

NEW FEATURE: If you’re a paid subscriber, you can move to the upper right-hand corner of this email and click the link that says “Read Online”. This takes you to the web-based version, which will allow you to add your comments and questions at the bottom of the newsletter—please join the conversation!

On to this week’s Sunday Seven (actually Sunday Nine, but who’s counting)… 

1. What I’m thinking about the record increase in the NFL Salary Cap…

The NFL announced a 2024 salary cap of $255 million, a healthy increase of 13.4% above the 2023 cap of $224 million. The league is now past the relatively small 6-7% increases in the immediate years after the 2020 Covid year, and this is what we have been expecting from the cap. It is good news for both players and teams that are tight against the cap.

Brandt’s Stance: A couple of caveats go along with this record-setting increase. First, the natural maturation process of player contracts can soak up most cap increases, even this year. Teams usually have 10-25 players with contract increases at or around $1 million per year, some at increases up to $3-5 million per year. The increases in contracts alone can eat up most or all of the cap increases.

Also, NFL teams receive almost $400 million as their disbursement from the league, $150 million more than the $255 million player cap. That is for shared national revenues for media, licensing, sponsorships, etc., and doesn’t even include any local revenue earned. Thus, even with a healthy salary cap, the owners still have a much better deal.

Perhaps the strong cap increase will lessen the number of cap ‘push-outs,’ restructures where teams convert large salaries into prorated signing bonuses in order to defer cap pain. The Saints, as per their normal mode of operations, already pushed out $23 million of cap room on Derek Carr’s contract. Maybe there will be fewer push-outs this year, it’s a mode of cap management that this former cap manager does not like.

Again, it doesn’t take a salary cap wizard to move cap to future years; you could do that. It takes a cap wizard to put the team in position to not have to do that.

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J-L Laurendeau2 years ago

Great platform, looking forward to seeing what's next to come!

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Miles Chennells2 years ago

Hi Andrew. Loving the new format and the videos. I'm interested - how is the franchise tag mechanism used more broadly than it was originally intended to be used?

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Ryan Hyatt 2 years ago

Always enjoy and appreciate the content and really like the new format! Thanks for taking the time to do all you do. I know it's a labor of love, but it's still labor! Hyatt

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Andrew BrandtAuthor2 years ago

Thanks for this Ryan, much appreciated.

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Adam Salti2 years ago

Love platform, appreciate the insights, good luck. Q: how much higher is the Salary Cap than what was expected?

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Andrew BrandtAuthor2 years ago

Thanks Adam. I expected the Cap to be higher than the projected $242M, but did not think it would rise to $255M. We'll see if this affects the marketplace at all, not confident it will.

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K C2 years ago

Curious about how the NFL teams receive their media distribution. Do teams get a lump sum payment if $400m once in March at the start of the league year? Or do they get installments?

I know the teams have to submit their contracts to the NFL. How many people in the league office check for cap compliance? Do the league and teams ever differ in opinion about being in compliance?

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Andrew BrandtAuthor2 years ago

Hi KC-Media and national distributions are paid out usually in quarterly installments to teams (after the league office takes their cut off the top). Cap compliance used to be one per team (me) but now I hear some teams have 3-4 people in that area. There are some differences of opinion and sometimes the league will listen, but they are the final arbiter.

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Brad M2 years ago

RE: High profile players not opting in for the EA game - Does the opt in require exclusive NIL for video games or some other NIL restrictions? Not opting in just means you don't get $600 and a free copy of the game. You're then stuck playing a game with your friends that they are in and you aren't. What's the benefit of not being in the game, not getting $600 and not getting the game for free? If there is no other offer, isn't the value what someone is willing to pay? $600 may not be the true value for high market players, but what's gained by not being in the game?

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Andrew BrandtAuthor2 years ago

Hi Brad-If the high value players can opt in and not be exclusive -- meaning still able to earn from a competing product -- that's great. Otherwise, I don't see them giving away their NIL in video games for $600. But as I said, for the vast majority of cfb players, good deal.

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Larry D2 years ago

Agree. Most players would allow EA to use their NIL for free. It’s not about the money; it’s about being in a game everyone will be playing.

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Paul Barth2 years ago

Love the new platform and format.

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Andrew BrandtAuthor2 years ago

Thank you Paul!